The impact of the synergistic effect of SO(2) and PM(2.5)/PM(10) on obstructive lung disease in subtropical Taiwan.
Study subjects
Taiwan Biobank volunteers linked to the Taiwan Air Quality Monitoring Database
2,635 Taiwan Biobank volunteers aged 30-70 with no history of cancer: 1,225 men (46.5%) and 1,410 women (53.5%), mean age 49.80 +/- 10.53 years. By monitoring region, 494 (18.7%) northern, 529 (20.1%) central and 1,612 (61.2%) southern Taiwan. 1,917 (72.8%) never smokers and 718 (27.2%) current or former smokers; 2,371 (90.0%) no or occasional alcohol consumption and 264 (10.0%) current or quit. Mean height 162.94 +/- 8.25 cm, weight 64.38 +/- 12.05 kg, BMI 24.14 +/- 3.4 kg/m2, body adiposity index 28.5 +/- 3.88, body roundness index 3.71 +/- 1.11. Comorbidities: hypertension 275 (10.4%), type 2 diabetes 120 (4.6%), renal failure 4 (0.2%), metabolic syndrome 475 (18.0%), coronary artery disease 27 (1.0%). Each participant provided informed consent and underwent a face-to-face interview, physical examination, blood sampling and a lifestyle questionnaire. The Taiwan Biobank holds no information on occupational exposure to toxic substances, which the authors list as a limitation.
Cross-sectional, population-based study linking the Taiwan Biobank to the Taiwan Air Quality Monitoring Database; exposure assigned from the nearest of 74 monitoring stations as the average concentration over the year leading up to each participant's survey date. Because the design is cross-sectional, the authors state that further prospective studies are needed to elucidate causal effects.
Lung function assays
Taiwan Biobank spirometry (FEV1 percent-predicted) by obstructive impairment status, with one-year average residential SO2, PM10 and PM2.5
Cross-sectional spirometry in 2,635 Taiwan Biobank participants (mean age 49.80 +/- 10.53 years; 1,225 men (46.5%) and 1,410 women (53.5%)), each linked to the one-year average pollutant concentrations at their nearest air quality monitoring station. Participants were stratified by their own lung function into a normal spirometry control group (72.2%, 1902/2635) and an obstructive impairment group (27.8%, 733/2635, FEV1/FVC < 70%). FEV1 percent-predicted was 58.42 +/- 18.31% in the obstructive impairment group versus 95.09 +/- 13.73% in the normal spirometry group (p < 0.0001), and 95.13 +/- 13.54% in the propensity-matched normal subset (p < 0.0001). No absolute FEV1 or FVC volume and no mean FEV1/FVC ratio is reported anywhere in the paper, so the fev1 slot on each output carries a PERCENT-PREDICTED value. AFTER 1:2 propensity score matching the two groups did not differ in age, gender, smoking, alcohol consumption, anthropometric factors or comorbidities - that sentence of the paper follows its matching paragraph and describes the MATCHED comparison. In Table 1's UNMATCHED columns several of those characteristics do differ: age p = 0.0216, body adiposity index p = 0.0369, type 2 diabetes p = 0.0449 and monitoring region p < 0.0001. So the balance claim should not be read as a property of the raw 733-vs-1,902 contrast that the rest of this file uses. WHOLE-COHORT POLLUTANT LEVELS (Table 1, median (IQR) over all 2,635 observations): PM10 68.12 (17.2) ug/m3, PM2.5 37.72 (10.8) ug/m3, SO2 3.63 (1.19) ppb, CO 0.44 (0.18) ppm, NO 4.09 (3.83) ppb, NO2 14.86 (5.6) ppb, NOX 18.93 (8.71) ppb, O3 30.97 (3.85) ppb; only SO2, PM10 and PM2.5 are carried as structured exposure conditions here because the remaining pollutants play no part in the paper's models. WHOLE-COHORT METEOROLOGY (Table 1, mean (SD)): temperature 24.33 (0.75) degrees C, relative humidity 74.28 (2.45)%, rainfall 0.22 (0.05) mm/day; the obstructive group lived at higher temperature (24.41 +/- 0.84 vs 24.31 +/- 0.72 degrees C, p = 0.0016), higher relative humidity (74.51 +/- 2.37 vs 74.20 +/- 2.47%, p = 0.0028) and lower rainfall (0.21 +/- 0.05 vs 0.22 +/- 0.05 mm/day, p = 0.0039). Meteorological values are recorded here as description text only: ExposureCondition carries exposure_agent, concentration, duration and timing, with no slot for ambient temperature, humidity or rainfall, and their odds ratios are recorded in response_comparisons. 61.2% of participants (1,612 individuals) were from southern Taiwan, which the authors offer as the reason their 27.8% prevalence of obstructive impairment far exceeds Taiwan's reported 6.1% COPD and 5.1% asthma prevalence.
Exposure conditions
| Condition | Agent | Concentration | Duration |
|---|---|---|---|
| Residential ambient air of the obstructive impairment group (n = 733): one-year average SO2 3.70 ppb, PM10 65.72 ug/m3, PM2.5 35.88 ug/m3, all median (IQR) COND:chen-residential-air-obstructive |
air ENVO:00002005 |
— | 1 year |
| Residential ambient air of the full normal spirometry comparison group (n = 1,902): one-year average SO2 3.61 ppb, PM10 69.05 ug/m3, PM2.5 38.44 ug/m3, all median (IQR) COND:chen-residential-air-normal |
air ENVO:00002005 |
— | 1 year |
| Residential ambient air of the propensity-score-matched normal spirometry subset (n = 1,466, a subset of the 1,902): one-year average SO2 3.57 ppb, PM10 67.74 ug/m3, PM2.5 37.47 ug/m3, all median (IQR) COND:chen-residential-air-normal-matched |
air ENVO:00002005 |
— | 1 year |
| One-year average residential SO2, obstructive impairment group (numerically higher than both comparison groups, but significantly so only against the propensity-matched subset: p = 0.0265 matched vs p = 0.0809 against the full normal group) EXPOSURE:chen-so2-obstructive |
sulfur dioxide CHEBI:18422 |
3.70 parts per billion (median; interquartile range ±1.39 parts per billion; n=733) | 1 year |
| One-year average residential SO2, full normal spirometry comparison group EXPOSURE:chen-so2-normal |
sulfur dioxide CHEBI:18422 |
3.61 parts per billion (median; interquartile range ±1.09 parts per billion; n=1902) | 1 year |
| One-year average residential SO2, propensity-score-matched normal spirometry subset EXPOSURE:chen-so2-normal-matched |
sulfur dioxide CHEBI:18422 |
3.57 parts per billion (median; interquartile range ±1.15 parts per billion; n=1466) | 1 year |
| One-year average residential PM10, obstructive impairment group (LOWER than both comparison groups, p < 0.0001 and p = 0.0113) EXPOSURE:chen-pm10-obstructive |
respirable suspended particulate matter ENVO:01000405 |
65.72 microgram per cubic meter (median; interquartile range ±17.51 microgram per cubic meter; n=733) | 1 year |
| One-year average residential PM10, full normal spirometry comparison group EXPOSURE:chen-pm10-normal |
respirable suspended particulate matter ENVO:01000405 |
69.05 microgram per cubic meter (median; interquartile range ±16.99 microgram per cubic meter; n=1902) | 1 year |
| One-year average residential PM10, propensity-score-matched normal spirometry subset EXPOSURE:chen-pm10-normal-matched |
respirable suspended particulate matter ENVO:01000405 |
67.74 microgram per cubic meter (median; interquartile range ±17.69 microgram per cubic meter; n=1466) | 1 year |
| One-year average residential PM2.5, obstructive impairment group (LOWER than both comparison groups, p < 0.0001 and p = 0.0014) EXPOSURE:chen-pm25-obstructive |
fine respirable suspended particulate matter ENVO:01000415 |
35.88 microgram per cubic meter (median; interquartile range ±10.74 microgram per cubic meter; n=733) | 1 year |
| One-year average residential PM2.5, full normal spirometry comparison group EXPOSURE:chen-pm25-normal |
fine respirable suspended particulate matter ENVO:01000415 |
38.44 microgram per cubic meter (median; interquartile range ±10.74 microgram per cubic meter; n=1902) | 1 year |
| One-year average residential PM2.5, propensity-score-matched normal spirometry subset EXPOSURE:chen-pm25-normal-matched |
fine respirable suspended particulate matter ENVO:01000415 |
37.47 microgram per cubic meter (median; interquartile range ±11.15 microgram per cubic meter; n=1466) | 1 year |
Outputs
| Group | Output | Description |
|---|---|---|
| treated | FEV1 percent-predicted in the obstructive impairment group (FEV1/FVC < 70%, n = 733) LF:chen-twb-spirometry-output-obstructive · under COND:chen-residential-air-obstructive |
FEV1 as a PERCENTAGE OF ITS PREDICTED VALUE, not a volume: 58.42 +/- 18.31% in the 733 participants whose own spirometry put them below the FEV1/FVC < 70% threshold. This group is the paper's case group; experimental_group is treated as the nearest available coding of 'case', but note that the group was defined by this outcome rather than by an assigned exposure, and measured_under points at the group's residential air rather than at any assigned dose. Within this group FEV1 percent-predicted was >=80% in 80 participants (10.9%), 50-80% in 408 (55.7%), 30-50% in 200 (27.3%) and <30% in 45 (6.1%).
fev1: 58.42 percent (mean; standard deviation ±18.31 percent; n=733)
FEV10_PRED, mean (SD) 84.89 (22.35) 58.42 (18.31) 95.09 (13.73) <0.0001 95.13 (13.54) <0.0001 ≥80% 1747 (66.3) 80 (10.9) 1,667 (87.6) 1,291 (88.1) 50–80% 639 (24.3) 408 (55.7) 231 (12.1) 171 (11.7) 30–50% 204 (7.7) 200 (27.3) 4 (0.2) 4 (0.3) <30% 45 (1.7) 45 (6.1) 0 (0.0) <0.0001 0 (0.0) <0.0001 States this group's FEV1 percent-predicted mean and SD (58.42 (18.31), the second column) and the severity distribution quoted in this record's description; the row's own category breakdown in percentages confirms FEV10_PRED is a percent-predicted measure rather than a volume. |
| control | FEV1 percent-predicted in the full normal spirometry comparison group (n = 1,902) LF:chen-twb-spirometry-output-normal · under COND:chen-residential-air-normal |
FEV1 as a PERCENTAGE OF ITS PREDICTED VALUE, not a volume: 95.09 +/- 13.73% in the 1,902 participants with normal spirometry, the paper's control group (72.2% of the cohort). Within this group FEV1 percent-predicted was >=80% in 1,667 participants (87.6%), 50-80% in 231 (12.1%), 30-50% in 4 (0.2%) and <30% in none.
fev1: 95.09 percent (mean; standard deviation ±13.73 percent; n=1902)
FEV10_PRED, mean (SD) 84.89 (22.35) 58.42 (18.31) 95.09 (13.73) <0.0001 95.13 (13.54) <0.0001 States this group's FEV1 percent-predicted mean and SD (95.09 (13.73), the third column) and the p < 0.0001 for its contrast with the obstructive impairment group. Overall, 72.2% (1902/2635) of the participants were classified into the control group States this group's size and that the authors themselves call it the control group, which is why experimental_group is control. |
| control | FEV1 percent-predicted in the propensity-score-matched normal spirometry subset (n = 1,466) LF:chen-twb-spirometry-output-normal-matched · under COND:chen-residential-air-normal-matched |
FEV1 as a PERCENTAGE OF ITS PREDICTED VALUE, not a volume: 95.13 +/- 13.54% in the 1,466 normal-spirometry participants retained after 1:2 propensity score matching on age category, sex, region of residence, smoking, drinking, BMI, BAI and BRI. This record is a SUBSET of LF:chen-twb-spirometry-output-normal, not an independent group, and is recorded separately because the paper's between-group pollutant p-values differ between the matched and unmatched comparisons (for SO2, p = 0.0265 matched vs p = 0.0809 unmatched).
fev1: 95.13 percent (mean; standard deviation ±13.54 percent; n=1466)
FEV10_PRED, mean (SD) 84.89 (22.35) 58.42 (18.31) 95.09 (13.73) <0.0001 95.13 (13.54) <0.0001 States this subset's FEV1 percent-predicted mean and SD (95.13 (13.54), the matched-comparison column) and the p < 0.0001 for its contrast with the obstructive impairment group. The two groups were propensity-score matched (1:2) for baseline characteristics of age categories, sex, live region, Smoke, Drink, BMI, BAI and BRI. States the matching scheme and covariates that define this subset. |
Evidence
This cross-sectional study obtained data from the Taiwan Biobank and Taiwan Air Quality Monitoring Database. We defined obstructive lung disease as patients with FEV1/FVC < 70%.
Establishes the cross-sectional design, the two linked data sources, and the FEV1/FVC < 70% criterion that defines this assay's obstructive impairment output group.
The Taiwan Biobank (TWB) is the largest biobank in Taiwan, consisting of biological samples and associated data collected from volunteers aged between 30 and 70 years old who do not have a history of cancer.
States the source cohort and its eligibility (volunteers aged 30-70 with no cancer history) recorded on study_subject.
The mean age of the 2,635 enrolled participants was 49.80 ± 10.53 years. Of these participants, 1,225 (46.5%) were men, and 1,410 (53.5%) were women.
States the cohort size and mean age recorded on study_subject and the sex split recorded in subject_characteristics.
The participants were stratified into two groups according to lung function test results: the control group (normal spirometry group) and chronic lung disease group (obstructive impairment). Overall, 72.2% (1902/2635) of the participants were classified into the control group, and 27.8% (733/2635) were classified into the chronic lung disease group. Propensity score matching (1:2) was performed to balance the baseline characteristics between the two groups.
States that the groups were defined by the participants' own lung function test results — the outcome, not an assigned exposure — and gives the three group sizes behind this assay's output records.
The two groups were propensity-score matched (1:2) for baseline characteristics of age categories, sex, live region, Smoke, Drink, BMI, BAI and BRI. Air pollution factors were analyzed using independent t-test to compare the obstructive impairment group with the comparison group of normal spirometry.
States the matching variables behind the third output record and the test used for the between-group pollutant comparisons.
Technicians used MicroLab spirometers and Spida 5 software (Micro Medical Ltd., Rochester, Kent, UK) (22) to perform spirometry measurements.
Documents the spirometry equipment recorded on PROTOCOL:chen-spirometry-001.
Obstructive lung diseases including asthma, COPD, and bronchiectasis were defined as patients with FEV1/FVC < 70%, according to the American Thoracic Society and European Respiratory Society guidelines.
States the diagnostic criterion and the guideline basis recorded as this protocol's spirometry_standard.
FEV10_PRED, mean (SD) 84.89 (22.35) 58.42 (18.31) 95.09 (13.73) <0.0001 95.13 (13.54) <0.0001
The Table 1 row giving every FEV1 percent-predicted value recorded on this assay's three output records: whole cohort 84.89 (22.35), obstructive impairment 58.42 (18.31), normal spirometry 95.09 (13.73), and the propensity-matched normal subset 95.13 (13.54), each contrast at p < 0.0001.
There were no significant differences in age, gender, smoking, alcohol consumption, anthropometric factors and comorbidities, including hypertension, type 2 diabetes mellitus, renal failure, metabolic syndrome, and coronary artery disease between the two groups.
Supports the description's statement that the outcome groups were balanced on demographics and comorbidities, which is what leaves the pollutant and meteorological contrasts as the differences between them.
used data from 74 air quality monitoring stations located throughout Taiwan, as recorded by the TAQMD on a daily basis.
States the 74-station monitoring network recorded on PROTOCOL:chen-air-monitoring-001.
SO2 was detected by ultraviolet fluorescence method, CO was determined by nondispersive infrared method, O3 was calculated by ultraviolet absorption method, NOx was detected by chemiluminescence method.
Documents the per-pollutant measurement methods on PROTOCOL:chen-air-monitoring-001, including the ultraviolet fluorescence method behind the SO2 exposure conditions.
Lastly, we selected data from the air quality monitoring station recorded during the year leading up to the survey date and calculated the average values of air pollutants including PM2.5, PM10, CO, NO, NO2, NOx, SO2, and O3 for the chosen year (21).
States the one-year averaging window recorded as exposure_duration on every pollutant exposure condition below, and the geocoded nearest-station assignment on PROTOCOL:chen-exposure-assignment-001.
SO2 (ppb) 3.63 (1.19) 3.70 (1.39) 3.61 (1.09) 0.0809 3.57 (1.15) 0.0265
The Table 1 row giving every SO2 concentration recorded below: whole cohort 3.63 (1.19) ppb, obstructive impairment 3.70 (1.39), normal spirometry 3.61 (1.09) (p = 0.0809) and the matched normal subset 3.57 (1.15) (p = 0.0265), all as median (IQR).
PM10 (μg/m3) 68.12 (17.2) 65.72 (17.51) 69.05 (16.99) <0.0001 67.74 (17.69) 0.0113 PM2.5 (μg/m3) 37.72 (10.8) 35.88 (10.74) 38.44 (10.74) <0.0001 37.47 (11.15) 0.0014
The Table 1 rows giving every PM10 and PM2.5 concentration recorded below, all as median (IQR), and showing that both were LOWER in the obstructive impairment group than in either comparison group.
Air pollution factors, median (IQR)
The Table 1 sub-heading establishing that the pollutant values above are medians with interquartile ranges, which is the central_tendency and variability_type recorded on every pollutant exposure condition.
In Table 1, we present the average air pollution levels based on a total of 2,635 observations, indicating the following values: PM10: 68.12 μg/m3, PM 2.5: 37.72 μg/m3, SO 2: 3.63 ppb, CO: 0.44 ppm, NO: 4.09 ppb, NO2: 14.86 ppb, NOx: 18.93 ppb.
The authors' own restatement of the whole-cohort pollutant levels quoted in this assay's description, including the CO, NO, NO2 and NOx values that are not carried as structured exposure conditions.
Temperature (°C) 24.33 (0.75) 24.41 (0.84) 24.31 (0.72) 0.0016 24.27 (0.75) 0.0001
The Table 1 temperature row quoted in this assay's description; temperature has no ExposureCondition slot, so it is recorded as description text with its odds ratios in response_comparisons.
Relative humidity (%) 74.28 (2.45) 74.51 (2.37) 74.20 (2.47) 0.0028 74.25 (2.49) 0.0158 Rainfall (mm/day) 0.22 (0.05) 0.21 (0.05) 0.22 (0.05) 0.0039 0.22 (0.05) 0.0001
The Table 1 relative humidity and rainfall rows quoted in this assay's description, with their between-group p-values.
Regarding meteorological factors, higher temperature, higher relative humidity, and lower rainfall were risk factors for obstructive lung disease.
The authors' summary of the meteorological contrast between the outcome groups, which the temperature, humidity and rainfall odds ratios in response_comparisons quantify.
In addition, we found that exposure to SO 2 in the environment increased the impact on patients with obstructive lung disease, whereas PM2.5 and PM10 decreased the impact (Table 1).
The authors' statement of the opposing directions of the SO2 and PM contrasts recorded on this assay's exposure conditions, before adjustment.
Compared with the control group, the obstructive impairment group was associated with higher temperature, higher relative humidity, and lower rainfall, and also exposure to a higher level of SO2 and lower levels of PM2.5 and PM10.
States the exposure profile of each output group: the obstructive impairment group's residential air had more SO2 and less PM2.5/PM10 than the normal spirometry group's.
Overall, 27.8% of our study population had obstructive impairment. However, a previous study estimated that the prevalence of COPD in Taiwan was around 6.1% ( 23), with a prevalence of asthma of around 5.1% ( 24).
Supports the description's note that this cohort's 27.8% prevalence of obstructive impairment greatly exceeds Taiwan's reported COPD and asthma prevalence.
around 1,612 individuals, which accounts for 61.2% of the total, were from southern Taiwan.
States the southern-Taiwan share of the cohort recorded in the description and in subject_characteristics, which the authors offer as the reason for the high prevalence.
Multinomial logistic regression was used to estimate crude odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Stepwise multinomial logistic regression was used to calculate adjusted ORs and 95% CIs.
Documents the regression methods recorded as statistical_test on the odds-ratio comparisons in response_comparisons, and establishes that Table 3 carries both crude and adjusted estimates.
TABLE 3 Predicted obstructive impairment by crude and multiple logistic regression model. PM10 or PM2.5 by SO2 Model 1 Model 2 PM10 or PM2.5 by SO2 Crude OR (95%CI) P-value β (SE), P for interaction Adjusted OR (95%CI) P-value Adjusted OR (95%CI) P-value Adjusted β (SE), P for interaction
Table 3's title and full column order, which is load-bearing for reading the interaction coefficients correctly: the 'β (SE), P for interaction' column sits inside the CRUDE block, immediately after the crude OR and its p-value and BEFORE the model 1 and model 2 adjusted OR columns, while a separate 'Adjusted β (SE), P for interaction' column closes the table. The crude and adjusted interaction terms are recorded as separate response_comparisons on this basis.
PM10 (μg/m3) 0.99 (0.99– 0.999) 0.0115 0.01 (0.00), 0.0052 0.99 (0.98–0.99) <0.0001 0.00 (0.00), 0.3423
The Table 3 PM10 row, read against the column order above: crude OR 0.99 (0.99-0.999) p = 0.0115, CRUDE interaction beta 0.01 (0.00) p = 0.0052, model 1 adjusted OR 0.99 (0.98-0.99) p < 0.0001, and ADJUSTED interaction beta 0.00 (0.00) p = 0.3423 - the non-significant adjusted term recorded in COMP:chen-so2-pm10-interaction-adjusted. Note Table 3 prints p < 0.0001 for the adjusted OR where the Results text says p < 0.001.
PM2.5 (μg/m3) 0.99 (0.98– 0.99) 0.0015 0.01 (0.00), 0.0155 0.97 (0.96–0.98) <0.0001 0.05 (0.05), 0.3423
The Table 3 PM2.5 row: crude OR 0.99 (0.98-0.99) p = 0.0015, CRUDE interaction beta 0.01 (0.00) p = 0.0155, model 2 adjusted OR 0.97 (0.96-0.98) p < 0.0001, and ADJUSTED interaction beta 0.05 (0.05) p = 0.3423.
SO2 (ppb) 1.08 (1.01– 1.16) 0.0268 1.25 (1.14–1.36) <0.0001 1.28 (1.17–1.39) <0.0001
The Table 3 SO2 row: crude OR 1.08 (1.01-1.16) p = 0.0268, then the model 1 and model 2 adjusted ORs 1.25 (1.14-1.36) and 1.28 (1.17-1.39), both p < 0.0001 in the table where the Results text says p < 0.001. SO2 has no interaction cell of its own because it is the modifier in the SO2 x PM terms.
PM10 (μg/m3) 0.90 (0.82– 0.98) 0.0115 0.11 (0.04), 0.0052 0.79 (0.71–0.88) <0.0001 −0.00 (0.00), 0.5086
The Table 3 'Per SD increasing' PM10 row: crude per-SD OR 0.90 (0.82-0.98), CRUDE per-SD interaction beta 0.11 (0.04) p = 0.0052, model 1 adjusted per-SD OR 0.79 (0.71-0.88) p < 0.0001, and ADJUSTED per-SD interaction beta -0.00 (0.00) p = 0.5086 - negative and non-significant, as recorded in COMP:chen-so2-pm10-interaction-persd-adjusted.
PM2.5 (μg/m3) 0.87 (0.80– 0.95) 0.0015 0.09 (0.04), 0.0155 0.73 (0.65–0.81) <0.0001 −0.03 (0.04), 0.5086
The Table 3 'Per SD increasing' PM2.5 row: crude per-SD OR 0.87 (0.80-0.95), CRUDE per-SD interaction beta 0.09 (0.04) p = 0.0155, model 2 adjusted per-SD OR 0.73 (0.65-0.81) p < 0.0001, and ADJUSTED per-SD interaction beta -0.03 (0.04) p = 0.5086.
SO2 (ppb) 1.10 (1.01– 1.20) 0.0268 1.30 (1.17–1.44) <0.0001 1.34 (1.21–1.48) <0.0001
The Table 3 'Per SD increasing' SO2 row, giving the crude per-SD OR 1.10 (1.01-1.20) and the model 1 and model 2 adjusted per-SD ORs 1.30 (1.17-1.44) and 1.34 (1.21-1.48) recorded in COMP:chen-so2-persd-or-model1 and COMP:chen-so2-persd-or-model2.
Pearson’s correlation analysis was used to evaluate the relationships between variables (temperature, relative humidity, rainfall, PM10, PM2.5, and SO2).
Documents the correlation method behind the SO2-PM10, SO2-PM2.5 and PM10-PM2.5 correlation coefficients quoted on this assay and in the key event relationship below.
SO2 was positively correlated with PM10 and PM2.5, with correlation coefficients of 0.53 (p < 0.0001) and 0.52 (p < 0.0001), respectively.
States the SO2-PM correlations that motivated the generalized additive modelling of their joint effect, the paper's central analysis.
In addition, PM10 and PM2.5 were also positively correlated (correlation coefficient = 0.69, p < 0.0001).
States the PM10-PM2.5 correlation, which is why the paper fits PM10 and PM2.5 in separate models (model 1 and model 2) rather than together.
Finally, because the participant’s residential address was used as the air pollutant exposure point, we did not include all factors affecting lung function, such as personal exposure, travel exposure, and indoor air quality. This may have led to underestimation of the risk of lung function impairment and the association with obstructive lung disease.
The authors' own limitation on the exposure metric recorded on PROTOCOL:chen-exposure-assignment-001: a nearest-station annual average stands in for personal exposure.
Response comparisons
FEV1 percent-predicted, obstructive impairment group vs full normal spirometry group
FEV1 percent-predicted was 58.42 +/- 18.31% in the obstructive impairment group versus 95.09 +/- 13.73% in the normal spirometry group, reported at p < 0.0001 (Table 1, one-way ANOVA). The paper prints only the two group values and the threshold p, never a difference, percent change or ratio, so change_value is omitted rather than computed. The p-value is a threshold, not an exact value, so p_value is omitted too. Note the direction of this contrast is the definition of the groups, not a treatment effect: participants were assigned to groups by their own spirometry.
Statistical test: one-way ANOVA between spirometry groups (Table 1), reported as p < 0.0001
FEV1 percent-predicted, obstructive impairment group vs propensity-score-matched normal spirometry subset
FEV1 percent-predicted was 58.42 +/- 18.31% in the obstructive impairment group versus 95.13 +/- 13.54% in the 1:2 propensity-score-matched normal spirometry subset, again at p < 0.0001 (Table 1). Matching on age category, sex, region, smoking, drinking, BMI, BAI and BRI barely moved the comparison group's value (95.09% unmatched to 95.13% matched), which is what the authors use to argue the spirometry contrast is not driven by those baseline characteristics. change_value and p_value are omitted for the same reasons as the unmatched comparison.
Statistical test: one-way ANOVA between spirometry groups after 1:2 propensity score matching (Table 1), reported as p < 0.0001
Adjusted odds ratio for obstructive impairment per ppb SO2, model 1 (with PM10)
SO2 was an independent predictive factor for obstructive impairment in model 1: adjusted OR 1.25 (95% CI 1.14-1.36), reported as p < 0.001 in the Results text and as p < 0.0001 in Table 3 - the paper is internally inconsistent here, and either way the value is a threshold rather than an exact p, so p_value is omitted. This is the paper's headline SO2 result — higher SO2 at the residence, higher odds of obstructive impairment. The outcome is obstructive impairment dichotomized from FEV1/FVC at 70%, not a change in the FEV1/FVC ratio itself.
Statistical test: stepwise multinomial logistic regression, model 1 (adjusted OR per ppb SO2, fitted with PM10)
Adjusted odds ratio for obstructive impairment per ug/m3 PM10, model 1
PM10 was an independent predictive factor in model 1 with an adjusted OR BELOW one: 0.99 (95% CI 0.98-0.99), reported as p < 0.001 in the Results text and as p < 0.0001 in Table 3 - the paper is internally inconsistent here, and either way the value is a threshold rather than an exact p, so p_value is omitted. Higher PM10 at the residence went with LOWER odds of obstructive impairment, the opposite of most previous studies. The authors do not treat this as PM10 being protective: they attribute it to the SO2 x PM synergy they report, under which injury occurs at low concentrations of both pollutants together, and state that their finding 'is contrast to most of previous studies'. Recorded exactly as reported.
Statistical test: stepwise multinomial logistic regression, model 1 (adjusted OR per ug/m3 PM10)
Adjusted odds ratio for obstructive impairment per degree C, model 1
Temperature was an independent predictive factor in model 1: adjusted OR 1.24 (95% CI 1.09-1.41), p = 0.0009. Higher ambient temperature at the residence went with higher odds of obstructive impairment. The authors read this through a previous Taiwanese finding of a V/U-shaped temperature-pollutant relationship, in which 24.3-24.9 degrees C corresponds to the lowest pollutant exposure, so temperature may act partly by shifting pollutant exposure.
Statistical test: stepwise multinomial logistic regression, model 1 (adjusted OR per degree Celsius)
Adjusted odds ratio for obstructive impairment per percent relative humidity, model 1
Relative humidity was an independent predictive factor in model 1: adjusted OR 1.05 (95% CI 1.01-1.10), p = 0.0160. The authors' proposed mechanism is that high relative humidity limits evaporative cooling by perspiration, creating physiological stress that leads to respiratory dysfunction, and that high temperature with high humidity can trigger bronchoconstriction.
Statistical test: stepwise multinomial logistic regression, model 1 (adjusted OR per percent relative humidity)
Adjusted odds ratio for obstructive impairment per mm/day rainfall, model 1
Rainfall was an independent predictive factor in model 1 with an adjusted OR far below one: 0.08 (95% CI 0.01-0.68), p = 0.0202. More rainfall went with much lower odds of obstructive impairment. Note the scale: Table 1 reports rainfall as mean (SD) 0.22 (0.05) mm/day, so an OR expressed per whole mm/day is about 4.5 times the cohort mean and roughly 20 cohort standard deviations - far outside the observed range, and not a per-SD effect. The authors attribute the direction to precipitation scavenging, citing a washout effect that reduces particle numbers during rainfall.
Statistical test: stepwise multinomial logistic regression, model 1 (adjusted OR per mm/day rainfall)
Adjusted odds ratio for obstructive impairment per ppb SO2, model 2 (with PM2.5)
SO2 was an independent predictive factor in model 2 as well: adjusted OR 1.28 (95% CI 1.17-1.39), reported as p < 0.001 in the Results text and as p < 0.0001 in Table 3 - the paper is internally inconsistent here, and either way the value is a threshold rather than an exact p, so p_value is omitted. The SO2 estimate is stable across the two models (1.25 with PM10, 1.28 with PM2.5), which is the paper's basis for calling SO2 the pollutant strongly associated with obstructive lung disease.
Statistical test: stepwise multinomial logistic regression, model 2 (adjusted OR per ppb SO2, fitted with PM2.5)
Adjusted odds ratio for obstructive impairment per ug/m3 PM2.5, model 2
PM2.5 was an independent predictive factor in model 2 with an adjusted OR below one: 0.97 (95% CI 0.96-0.98), reported as p < 0.001 in the Results text and as p < 0.0001 in Table 3 - the paper is internally inconsistent here, and either way the value is a threshold rather than an exact p, so p_value is omitted. As with PM10 in model 1, higher PM2.5 went with LOWER odds of obstructive impairment, which the authors attribute to the SO2 x PM synergy rather than to any protective effect of PM2.5. Recorded exactly as reported.
Statistical test: stepwise multinomial logistic regression, model 2 (adjusted OR per ug/m3 PM2.5)
Adjusted odds ratio for obstructive impairment per degree C, model 2
Temperature in model 2: adjusted OR 1.31 (95% CI 1.15-1.49), reported as p < 0.001 in the Results text and as p < 0.0001 in Table 3 - the paper is internally inconsistent here, and either way the value is a threshold rather than an exact p, so p_value is omitted - slightly stronger than the 1.24 of model 1.
Statistical test: stepwise multinomial logistic regression, model 2 (adjusted OR per degree Celsius)
Adjusted odds ratio for obstructive impairment per percent relative humidity, model 2
Relative humidity in model 2: adjusted OR 1.04 (95% CI 1.00-1.09), p = 0.0372. The lower confidence bound sits at 1.00 as printed, so this is the weakest of the meteorological associations.
Statistical test: stepwise multinomial logistic regression, model 2 (adjusted OR per percent relative humidity)
Adjusted odds ratio for obstructive impairment per mm/day rainfall, model 2
Rainfall in model 2: adjusted OR 0.08 (95% CI 0.01-0.67), p = 0.0197 - essentially identical to model 1's 0.08 (0.01-0.68). The same scale caveat applies: cohort rainfall is 0.22 (0.05) mm/day as mean (SD), so an OR per whole mm/day spans roughly 20 cohort standard deviations and sits far outside the observed range.
Statistical test: stepwise multinomial logistic regression, model 2 (adjusted OR per mm/day rainfall)
Adjusted odds ratio for obstructive impairment per SD increase in SO2, model 1
Per standard deviation increase in SO2, the model 1 adjusted OR was 1.30 (95% CI 1.17-1.44), reported at p < 0.0001 (so p_value is omitted). The per-SD scaling makes the SO2 effect directly comparable with the per-SD PM estimates: SO2 1.30 up versus PM10 0.79 down.
Statistical test: stepwise multinomial logistic regression, model 1, adjusted OR per standard deviation increase in SO2
Adjusted odds ratio for obstructive impairment per SD increase in SO2, model 2
Per standard deviation increase in SO2, the model 2 adjusted OR was 1.34 (95% CI 1.21-1.48), reported at p < 0.0001 (so p_value is omitted) - the largest SO2 estimate in the paper.
Statistical test: stepwise multinomial logistic regression, model 2, adjusted OR per standard deviation increase in SO2
Adjusted odds ratio for obstructive impairment per SD increase in PM10, model 1
Per standard deviation increase in PM10, the model 1 adjusted OR was 0.79 (95% CI 0.71-0.88), reported at p < 0.0001 (so p_value is omitted). On the per-SD scale the inverse PM10 association is much larger than the per-ug/m3 OR of 0.99 makes it look, because one SD of PM10 spans many ug/m3. The paper never reports pollutant standard deviations - Table 1 gives PM10 as median (IQR) 68.12 (17.2) ug/m3 - so the SD behind this rescaling is not stated; back-calculating from the two ORs puts it somewhere in the high teens to low twenties ug/m3 depending on how much the 0.99 is rounded.
Statistical test: stepwise multinomial logistic regression, model 1, adjusted OR per standard deviation increase in PM10
Adjusted odds ratio for obstructive impairment per SD increase in PM2.5, model 2
Per standard deviation increase in PM2.5, the model 2 adjusted OR was 0.73 (95% CI 0.65-0.81), reported at p < 0.0001 (so p_value is omitted) - the strongest of the inverse PM associations on the per-SD scale.
Statistical test: stepwise multinomial logistic regression, model 2, adjusted OR per standard deviation increase in PM2.5
SO2 x PM10 crude (unadjusted) interaction coefficient for the relative risk of obstructive impairment
SO2 modified the relationship of PM10 with the relative risk of obstructive impairment: interaction beta = 0.01 with SE 0.00, p for interaction = 0.0052. This is the CRUDE, UNADJUSTED interaction term: in Table 3 the 'beta (SE), P for interaction' column sits inside the crude block, immediately after the crude OR and its p-value, and before the model 1 and model 2 adjusted OR columns. The model-adjusted counterpart from the same table row is recorded separately in COMP:chen-so2-pm10-interaction-adjusted and is NOT significant (beta = 0.00, SE 0.00, p = 0.3423). The paper headlines this crude term in its abstract and Results text, which is why it is recorded, but it should not be read as an adjusted effect. The value is a coefficient on the log-odds scale for the SO2 x PM10 product term, not a change in any lung function measurement, and its positive sign means the PM10 association strengthens as SO2 rises. change_type is absolute_difference with a dimensionless unit because that is what a regression coefficient is; change_direction reflects the sign of beta only.
Statistical test: multinomial logistic regression CRUDE (unadjusted) interaction term (SO2 x PM10), beta with standard error and p for interaction, from Table 3's crude block
SO2 x PM2.5 crude (unadjusted) interaction coefficient for the relative risk of obstructive impairment
SO2 also modified the relationship of PM2.5 with the relative risk of obstructive impairment: interaction beta = 0.01 with SE 0.00, p for interaction = 0.0155. As with the SO2 x PM10 term, this is the CRUDE, UNADJUSTED interaction from Table 3's crude block, not a model estimate - and note that PM2.5 is the model 2 pollutant, so labelling it 'model 1' would be wrong twice over. The model-adjusted counterpart is recorded in COMP:chen-so2-pm25-interaction-adjusted and is NOT significant (beta = 0.05, SE 0.05, p = 0.3423). Same log-odds scale and caveats as the SO2 x PM10 interaction above.
Statistical test: multinomial logistic regression CRUDE (unadjusted) interaction term (SO2 x PM2.5), beta with standard error and p for interaction, from Table 3's crude block
SO2 x PM10 crude (unadjusted) interaction coefficient, per SD increase
On the per standard deviation scale the same CRUDE SO2 x PM10 interaction has beta = 0.11 with SE 0.04 and the same p for interaction = 0.0052 (Table 3, 'Per SD increasing' block, crude column). The p-value is identical to the per-unit version because rescaling an exposure does not change the test; only the coefficient's size does. The model-adjusted per-SD counterpart is recorded in COMP:chen-so2-pm10-interaction-persd-adjusted and is NOT significant (beta = -0.00, SE 0.00, p = 0.5086).
Statistical test: multinomial logistic regression CRUDE (unadjusted) interaction term (SO2 x PM10) per standard deviation increase, beta with standard error and p for interaction, from Table 3's crude column
SO2 x PM2.5 crude (unadjusted) interaction coefficient, per SD increase
On the per standard deviation scale the CRUDE SO2 x PM2.5 interaction has beta = 0.09 with SE 0.04 and the same p for interaction = 0.0155 (Table 3, 'Per SD increasing' block, crude column). The model-adjusted per-SD counterpart is recorded in COMP:chen-so2-pm25-interaction-persd-adjusted and is NOT significant (beta = -0.03, SE 0.04, p = 0.5086).
Statistical test: multinomial logistic regression CRUDE (unadjusted) interaction term (SO2 x PM2.5) per standard deviation increase, beta with standard error and p for interaction, from Table 3's crude column
SO2 x PM10 model-adjusted interaction coefficient for the relative risk of obstructive impairment
The model-adjusted SO2 x PM10 interaction from Table 3's rightmost column ('Adjusted beta (SE), P for interaction'): beta = 0.00 with SE 0.00, p for interaction = 0.3423 - NOT significant. Compare the crude term in COMP:chen-so2-pm10-interaction (beta = 0.01, p = 0.0052), which the paper headlines in its abstract. The synergy claim in the abstract and Conclusion therefore rests on the crude interaction term and on the bivariate thin-plate smoothing splines of Table 4 (both p < 0.0001), not on this adjusted interaction coefficient. The paper does not comment on the discrepancy. change_direction is recorded as no_change because the coefficient is 0.00 as printed and its p-value is far from significance.
Statistical test: multinomial logistic regression ADJUSTED interaction term (SO2 x PM10), beta with standard error and p for interaction, from Table 3's adjusted interaction column
SO2 x PM2.5 model-adjusted interaction coefficient for the relative risk of obstructive impairment
The model-adjusted SO2 x PM2.5 interaction from Table 3's rightmost column: beta = 0.05 with SE 0.05, p for interaction = 0.3423 - NOT significant, and with a standard error equal to the coefficient itself. Compare the crude term in COMP:chen-so2-pm25-interaction (beta = 0.01, p = 0.0155). Table 3 prints the same p-value (0.3423) for both the PM10 and PM2.5 adjusted interaction terms.
Statistical test: multinomial logistic regression ADJUSTED interaction term (SO2 x PM2.5), beta with standard error and p for interaction, from Table 3's adjusted interaction column
SO2 x PM10 model-adjusted interaction coefficient, per SD increase
The model-adjusted per-SD SO2 x PM10 interaction from Table 3's 'Per SD increasing' block: beta = -0.00 with SE 0.00, p for interaction = 0.5086 - NOT significant, and NEGATIVE as printed (the paper writes it with a minus sign, which is why change_value carries -0.00 rather than 0.00). Compare the crude per-SD term in COMP:chen-so2-pm10-interaction-persd (beta = 0.11, p = 0.0052): adjustment reverses the sign and removes the significance.
Statistical test: multinomial logistic regression ADJUSTED interaction term (SO2 x PM10) per standard deviation increase, beta with standard error and p for interaction
SO2 x PM2.5 model-adjusted interaction coefficient, per SD increase
The model-adjusted per-SD SO2 x PM2.5 interaction from Table 3's 'Per SD increasing' block: beta = -0.03 with SE 0.04, p for interaction = 0.5086 - NOT significant and negative. Compare the crude per-SD term in COMP:chen-so2-pm25-interaction-persd (beta = 0.09, p = 0.0155): as with PM10, adjustment reverses the sign and removes the significance. Table 3 prints the same p-value (0.5086) for both per-SD adjusted interaction terms.
Statistical test: multinomial logistic regression ADJUSTED interaction term (SO2 x PM2.5) per standard deviation increase, beta with standard error and p for interaction
Crude odds ratio for obstructive impairment per ppb SO2
Before adjustment, SO2 carried a crude OR of 1.08 (95% CI 1.01-1.16), p = 0.0268 - in the same direction as the adjusted estimates (1.25 and 1.28) but much weaker, so adjustment for temperature, relative humidity and rainfall strengthens the SO2 association considerably.
Statistical test: multinomial logistic regression, crude (unadjusted) OR per ppb SO2
Crude odds ratio for obstructive impairment per ug/m3 PM10
Crude OR for PM10 0.99 (95% CI 0.99-0.999), p = 0.0115 - the inverse PM association is present before adjustment as well as after it (model 1 adjusted OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.98-0.99). Note the asymmetric upper bound printed as 0.999 in Table 3.
Statistical test: multinomial logistic regression, crude (unadjusted) OR per ug/m3 PM10
Crude odds ratio for obstructive impairment per ug/m3 PM2.5
Crude OR for PM2.5 0.99 (95% CI 0.98-0.99), p = 0.0015 - again inverse before adjustment, and strengthened by adjustment (model 2 adjusted OR 0.97, 95% CI 0.96-0.98).
Statistical test: multinomial logistic regression, crude (unadjusted) OR per ug/m3 PM2.5
Key-event relationships
Increased oxidative stress is associated with decreased lung function
The authors' proposed mechanism linking their epidemiological findings to lung injury: SO2 exposure affects the respiratory tract and causes oxidative stress and DNA damage that further damages the lungs, and the SO2 x PM synergy they report is attributed, citing Yun et al., to PM10 and SO2 jointly inducing reactive oxygen species production and NF-kB activation at low concentrations of both. This paper measures no oxidative stress marker itself; the oxidative stress limb comes entirely from cited literature in the Discussion, while the decreased lung function limb is this paper's own cross-sectional association (adjusted OR for obstructive impairment 1.25 and 1.28 per ppb SO2). The design is cross-sectional, so the authors state that prospective studies are needed to elucidate causal effects.
Exposure to SO2 has been shown to affect the respiratory tract and cause oxidative stress and DNA damage, which would further damage the lungs ( 39).
The authors' statement of the oxidative stress mechanism connecting SO2 exposure to lung damage. It cites reference 39 rather than any measurement in this paper, which is why evidence_support is weak.
That is because, we found that there was a synergistic effect between SO2 and PM2.5/PM10. Yun et al. found that synergistic injury in terms of cell survival and apoptosis occurred under low concentrations of PM10 and SO2 (15). The proposed mechanism was that PM10 and SO2 synergistic induced cytotoxicity of radical oxygen species production and nuclear factor kappa B (NF-κB) activation (15, 50).
States the reactive-oxygen-species mechanism the authors propose for their SO2 x PM synergy, and makes explicit that it is Yun et al.'s in vitro finding rather than a measurement in this study.
The GAM (Figure 1) showed that obstructive impairment was associated with a quadratic pattern for SO2 (per SD) and PM10 (per SD) in model 1, and a quadratic pattern for SO2 (per SD) but not PM2.5 (per SD) in model 2. We also found that the bivariate thin-plate smoothing spline in models 1 and 2 were significantly associated with obstructive impairment (p < 0.0001) (Table 4).
This paper's own contribution to the downstream limb: the generalized additive model result establishing that the joint SO2-PM surface, not either pollutant alone, is what tracks obstructive impairment.
Spline2(SO2 per SD, PM10 per SD) 4.00 37.19 37.19 <0.0001
The Table 4 row giving the bivariate thin-plate smoothing spline statistic for SO2 with PM10 (DF 4.00, chi-square 37.19, p < 0.0001), the quantitative form of the synergy claim.
Spline2 (SO2 per SD, PM2.5 per SD) 4.00 48.04 48.04 <0.0001
The Table 4 row giving the bivariate thin-plate smoothing spline statistic for SO2 with PM2.5 (DF 4.00, chi-square 48.04, p < 0.0001).
CONCLUSION: Our study showed high temperature, humidity, and low rainfall increased the risk of obstructive lung disease. Synergistic effects were observed among temperature, SO2, and PM2.5/PM10. The impact of air pollutants on obstructive lung disease should consider these interactions.
The authors' own conclusion, which is the claim this relationship records: the joint action of SO2, PM and meteorology on obstructive lung disease.
Protocols
Taiwan Biobank spirometry with ATS/ERS FEV1/FVC < 70% definition of obstruction
Pulmonary function parameters including forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1), forced vital capacity (FVC), the FEV1/FVC% ratio, the FVC-predicted value and the FEV1-predicted value were recorded in the Taiwan Biobank. Technicians used MicroLab spirometers and Spida 5 software (Micro Medical Ltd., Rochester, Kent, UK) to perform the spirometry measurements. Obstructive lung diseases including asthma, COPD and bronchiectasis were defined as patients with FEV1/FVC < 70%, according to the American Thoracic Society and European Respiratory Society guidelines. The paper does not state a reference equation for the predicted values, nor whether spirometry was pre- or post-bronchodilator.
Equipment: MicroLab spirometer (Micro Medical Ltd., Rochester, Kent, UK); Spida 5 software (Micro Medical Ltd.)
Taiwan Air Quality Monitoring Database: 74-station daily ambient pollutant monitoring
Daily ambient pollutant concentrations came from 74 air quality monitoring stations located throughout Taiwan, as recorded by the Taiwan Air Quality Monitoring Database (TAQMD) of the Taiwan Environmental Protection Administration. Measurement methods by pollutant: PM2.5 and PM10 by beta-ray attenuation; SO2 by ultraviolet fluorescence; CO by nondispersive infrared; O3 by ultraviolet absorption; NOx by chemiluminescence. All air pollutant data are stored in the cloud every hour and are free to access, and the average concentrations of air pollutants in a selected year were obtained before analysis.
Equipment: 74 Taiwan EPA air quality monitoring stations; Beta-ray attenuation monitors (PM2.5, PM10); Ultraviolet fluorescence analyser (SO2)
Three-step geocoding of residential address to nearest monitoring station, one-year average exposure
A three-step procedure assigned each participant an exposure. First, Google geocoding determined the exact geoposition of each residential address. Second, the interpolation point between each residential address and the nearest air quality monitoring station was determined. Lastly, data from that station recorded during the year leading up to the survey date were selected and the average values of PM2.5, PM10, CO, NO, NO2, NOx, SO2 and O3 for the chosen year were calculated. The exposure metric is therefore a ONE-YEAR AVERAGE at the nearest station, not a personal measurement; the authors list this as a limitation, since personal exposure, travel exposure and indoor air quality are not captured.
ANOVA, propensity score matching, multinomial logistic regression and generalized additive modelling
Descriptive analysis between spirometry groups used one-way ANOVA and the chi-square or Fisher's exact tests as appropriate; air pollution factors were compared between the obstructive impairment group and the normal spirometry comparison group by independent t-test. Propensity score matching (1:2) balanced baseline characteristics (age categories, sex, live region, smoking, drinking, BMI, BAI and BRI). Multinomial logistic regression estimated crude odds ratios and 95% CIs, and stepwise multinomial logistic regression calculated adjusted ORs and 95% CIs. Pearson's correlation analysis evaluated relationships between temperature, relative humidity, rainfall, PM10, PM2.5 and SO2. Because SO2 correlated with both PM2.5 and PM10, a generalized additive model (GAM) was used to fit equations and splines and to explore linear and nonlinear effects on obstructive impairment, with a semiparametric model taking temperature, relative humidity and rainfall as the linear part. All analyses used SAS version 9.4.